Predict KY-GOV (user search)
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May 29, 2024, 04:54:31 PM
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  Predict KY-GOV (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Beshear by 10 or more		  
#2
Beshear by 7-10		  
#3
Beshear by 5-7		  
#4
Beshear by 3-5		  
#5
Beshear by 1-3		  
#6
Beshear by less than 1		  
#7
Cameron by less than 1		  
#8
Cameron by 1-3		  
#9
Cameron by 3-5		  
#10
Cameron by 5-7		  
#11
Cameron by 7-10		  
#12
Cameron by more than 10		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 108

Author Topic: Predict KY-GOV  (Read 5873 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: October 17, 2023, 09:00:14 AM »
Beshear +5

Fundamentally different dynamic from Louisiana.
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Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,782
« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2023, 11:32:20 AM »

I'm moving my prediction to this as well.  This feels like a classical "fake double digit Dem lead in an Appalachian state" scenario, but I still think Beshear is favored.
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Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,782
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2023, 02:07:51 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 22, 2023, 01:31:28 PM
Quote from: Ragnaroni on October 22, 2023, 01:25:57 PM
Beshear only won because of anti Trump backlash and by a tiny margin. Anti Biden backlash will happen.

He won because of anti-Trump backlash in a very pro-Trump state?

Yeah, that doesn't really make sense.   He won because of anti-Bevin backlash would make more sense as the bearish case for Beshear.
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