California post-election analysis thread

[Skill and Chance]

Looking at the late vote in the VBM states;

In AZ, the 2022 late reported vote moved R as expected, but only marginally compared to 2020.  The senate race never got particularly close and Hobbs kept an early lead that I believe was narrower than Biden's.

In CA, it looks like the late reported  vote moved D, but only slightly.  I remember Newsom having about 58% at the end of counting on election night and now he has about 59%.  This is quite distinct from the dramatic r trend with the late vote in 2020, but also nothing like the dramatic Dem trend in 2018.  In the 2021 recall, the late vote also moved R, but less so than in 2020.  CA went all VBM in 2020.

In CO, i think the late reported vote moved slightly R.  Boebert took back a lead late, for example.

The late reported vote moved dramatically Dem in NV, which was consistent with 2020.  Trump was within 1% after the last election night update.  NV went all VBM in 2020.

OR and WA look like they might have gotten slightly more Dem over time?

In UT, McMullin improved notably with the late reported vote. 

[Skill and Chance]

This state is becoming red-pilled. I live in San Francisco and voters here are turning on the Democratic Party over concerns about crime and homelessness they've been tricked into thinking are the result of democratic or progressive leadership.

My favorite question to local: any Republicans elected on county and city (>-10000) posts in Bay Area? Perusing 9 counties results i don't see any - Democrats and Indies only.....

The shift largely isn't seen in the Bay Area.  The medium term risk for CA Dems is the rest of the state rising up against the Bay Area.