Predict the margin in CA-GOV (user search)
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  Predict the margin in CA-GOV (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the margin in CA-GOV  (Read 530 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: November 08, 2022, 05:55:54 PM »
Newsom by 58/42, Hispanic polling challenges will benefit Republicans this year (not enough to matter in CA  though).
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2022, 06:21:51 PM »
Quote from: Kamala's side hoe on November 09, 2022, 06:19:20 PM
Quote from: CentristRepublican on November 08, 2022, 09:07:31 PM
Quote from: Kamala's side hoe on November 08, 2022, 06:13:01 PM
Lower than in the recall but not by as much as Skill and Chance is suggesting.

So he does better or worse than 58-42?

Better than 58-42 but worse than 2021. Seems to be playing out so far.

CA got more R with each post-election day update in the 2020 GE and the 2021 recall.  It got more D with each update in the 2018 GE.  IDK what will happen this year, but several House seats are riding on it.
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