Skill and Chance
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« on: April 02, 2021, 12:14:11 PM » |
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Highly unlikely. The current congress would never approve it and the current state legislature is not ready to give up on winning statewide or concede EVs/Senate seats. It would also require either admission of a new state (which national Republicans are mobilizing against right now) or a pretty complex deal with at least 2 of AL/TN/SC/FL considering how geographically vast the Republican parts of Georgia are.
The only plausible way would be in 2025-26 if Republicans control the federal government and still control the state legislature despite GA voting Dem for president again. It seems pretty clear at this point that Democrats won't succeed in adding new states this term, but if they did, Republicans would look to retaliate by adding conservative states the next time they had the power to do it. The possibility of joining another existing state, the AL/TN/SC legislatures would presumably welcome them and are guaranteed to be under Republican control (FL is iffier because rural southern Georgia would be an obvious financial drain on them and Dems could plausibly pick up the governorship or try to block it by initiative there). Lets see if the western MN->SD proposal has legs.
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