We keep seeing these polls of Texas congressional districts with massive swings toward Biden. Could polls of the state as a whole be underpolling Ds? We may be in for a surprise in November.
These are internals by Democrats. btw although Texas polls have underpolled Ds in 2016 and 2018.
Yes, if the race tightens and say MI/PA/WI/MN are Biden+2-4 in the final polling averages while Texas is Trump +2-4, there's a not crazy scenario where Texas bails out Biden despite Trump doing as well as or better than 2016 in the Rust Belt.