Cumulative House Results by State (user search)
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  Cumulative House Results by State (search mode)
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Author Topic: Cumulative House Results by State  (Read 29689 times)
Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,758
« on: November 11, 2018, 01:18:36 AM »

Alabama

Republican: 972,927 (58.8%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 675,269 (40.8%)

Alaska

Republican: 128,516 (53.7%)
Democrats: 109,615 (45.8%)

Arizona

Democrats: 999,328 (49.8%)
Republicans: 989,802 (49.3%) (1 uncontested race)

Arkansas

Republicans: 553,536 (62.6%)
Democrats: 310,572 (35.1%)

California

Democrats: 5,041,566 (63.7%) (1 race with no candidate)
Republicans: 2,747,904 (34.7%) (8 races with no candidate)

Colorado

Democrats: 1,252,603 (52.4%)
Republicans: 1,050,938 (44.0%)

Connecticut

Democrats: 811,194 (61.0%)
Republicans: 508,669 (38.3%)

Delaware

Democrats: 227,353 (64.5%)
Republicans: 125,384 (35.5%)

Georgia

Republicans: 1,981,713 (52.4%) (1 uncontested race)
Democrats: 1,802,475 (47.6%) (1 uncontested race)

Hawaii

Democrats: 287,735 (75.3%)
Republicans: 87,296 (22.8%)

Idaho

Republicans: 366,054 (62.0%)
Democrats: 204,020 (34.6%)

Illinois

Democrats: 2,651,012 (60.4%)
Republicans: 1,714,804 (39.1%)

Indiana

Republicans: 1,178,371 (56.6%)
Democrats: 897,632 (43.1%)

Iowa

Democrats: 656,986 (50.4%)
Republicans: 607,827 (46.6%)

Kansas

Republicans: 549,563 (53.9%)
Democrats: 447,134 (43.9%)

Kentucky

Republicans: 935,565 (59.6%)
Democrats: 613,070 (39.0%)

Louisiana

Republicans: 835,603 (57.2%)
Democrats: 553,008 (37.9%)

Texas

Republicans: 4,104,555 (50.4%)
Democrats: 3,824,300 (47.0%)


I'll be working on this as you see this, just posting so I have it here.

Oh wow, an R+3.4 margin statewide would definitely flip the lower house of the state legislature in 2020 if Dems seriously contest it.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2018, 02:45:16 PM »
« Edited: November 11, 2018, 02:54:41 PM by Virginiá »

-snip-

I'll be working on this as you see this, just posting so I have it here.

Oh wow, an R+3.4 margin statewide would definitely flip the lower house of the state legislature in 2020 if Dems seriously contest it.

Is the natural self packing in rural east and north Texas really that bad for Republicans? I know those counties are like mini NYC's in terms of wasted votes for TX Republicans.

Not as bad as NYC, since most of them don't vote >90% GOP (yet) and they could be used more effectively in gerrymandering.

It was about as bad as the electoral college currently is for Democrats, and it just got a couple points worse if the 2018 Beto/Nelson/Collier statewide coalition and the oil recovery holds (more wasted R votes in West Texas vs. statewide margin than in 2016, fewer wasted D votes in the Safe Dem Houston seats).
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Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,758
« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2018, 08:43:25 PM »

This makes me wonder if the presidential results in Kansas and Montana will tighten significantly in 2020?  Not to the point of being competitive, but ~10% Trump wins instead of ~20% last time?
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