Which state is more likely to vote GOP in a presidential election?

[Skill and Chance]

I lean Washington, but it really comes down to:

1. Did Romney get a New England boost in 2012?  If so, the fact that ME/VT/MA/RI still trended D means a lot more for the future.  You could argue that Romney was the best GOP candidate to court Maine and look how that turned out.  How would a conservative populist like Huckabee/Perry/Walker do there?

2.  Do Republicans target the West?  The kind of campaign that would work in CO/NV/NM would also impress large portions of CA/OR/WA.  But is it worth the Republican's time and effort?  Obviously CA is too far gone statewide, but there are a bunch of D+low House seats there to target.  Also, an OR/WA strategy could reap a lot more EV's than an NH/ME/CT strategy (with CT being really, really tough).

So I am going with Washington and the premise would be a "Colorado strategy" for the GOP in a year that turns into reverse 2008.