Data For Progress: Polls for every Super Tuesday state (user search)

DrScholl
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Posts: 18,395

Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Re: Data For Progress: Polls for every Super Tuesday state

« on: March 03, 2020, 10:37:57 AM »

Late deciders most certainly seem to have effected the primaries. I didn't vote for Biden until after he placed second in Nevada and it seems like a lot of other people waited until he showed some sign of life before they committed to him.

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DrScholl
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Posts: 18,395

Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Re: Data For Progress: Polls for every Super Tuesday state

« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2020, 11:23:03 AM »

Ran the delegate math based on this polls

Sanders 425
Biden 415
Bloomberg 262
Warren 235

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DrScholl
Atlas Icon

Posts: 18,395

Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Re: Data For Progress: Polls for every Super Tuesday state

« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2020, 11:37:27 AM »

Quote from: Tintrlvr on March 03, 2020, 11:23:54 AM

Quote from: Impeachment Inquiry on March 03, 2020, 11:23:03 AM

Ran the delegate math based on this polls

Sanders 425
Biden 415
Bloomberg 262
Warren 235

That would make any result but a contested convention quite difficult.

Indeed. I should have mentioned that those were just the numbers for Super Tuesday. If you add in the already decided races to the polling estimate you get

Sanders 485
Biden 468
Bloomberg 268
Warren 243

Still quite close and enough for a contested convention.

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