IA-SEN 2020: Ernst megathread

[DrScholl]

The congressional delegation went from 3-1 Republican to 3-1 Democratic in one cycle. That doesn't really suggest that Ernst is safe.

[DrScholl]

Going from a 3-1 Republican delegation to a 3-1 Democratic one was pretty significant for a state that is supposedly trending heavily to the right. If anything Iowa is still a swing state and is not as reliably Republican as it was portrayed to be after Trump won it.

[DrScholl]

[quote author=Clinton/Newsom/Straight Ticket D 2018 voter for Mike Garcia link=topic=308691.msg7660861#msg7660861 date=1602974750 uid=23080
Or you know, it could be the case that 1 and 3 are left of the state and this would flip before the state AL
[/quote]

But if there was a huge rightward trend in the state neither of those districts would have flipped. Again, Iowa is still a swing state because that is how it behaved in 2018.

[DrScholl]

Why would any conservative, or even a moderate vote for Greenfield?

Ernst doesn't even know the price of soybeans. That's a good enough reason for voters to vote for Greenfield.