Rate the coming storm - Cat 1 to Cat 5

[Psychic Octopus]

I'm sticking with a bare or just short of Category 4, barely reaching or just falling short of 60 or so seats.

CAT 3

Christ, Vorlon, a 70 seat loss for the Dems??!!

I went through the House seat by seat, and there is a block of 24 seats by my count that are 50/50.  I allocated them 16/8 to the GHOP and came up +69, yes...

I may revise again after we get all the weekend polls, but everything I hear is that it's breaking very badly for the Dems.

Holy crap, damn, 70 seats?!?!?!? Well, we'll see what happens on Tuesday. With all the surging Republicans, I think that it is more likely that you are correct then the possibility of the Democrats keeping the House.

[Psychic Octopus]

I'll take it up to 42-50, but I still don't see this 70+ seat gain.

Senate, about a 30% chance of a GOP take over, but I'm really expecting 49-49-2.

Are you lowballing the House so you can be even more happy come Tuesday, if indeed the GOP gets close to or breaks 60 seats? It seems like that is the case to me.