TRC Poll - First and Second Preferencing

[tpfkaw]

With the current poll results, the election (among voters in this poll) would go as follows:

Round 1:

Tmth: 18 (47%)
Marokai: 10 (26%)
Oakvale: 6 (16%)
Ben: 4 (11%)

Round 2:

Tmth: 20 (53%)
Marokai: 11 (29%)
Oakvale: 7 (18%)

Tmth wins with all 4 candidates or if Marokai is the sole nominee.

Without Marokai

Round 1:

Tmth: 18 (47%)
Oakvale: 14 (37%)
Ben: 6 (16%)

Round 2:

Tmth: 21 (55%)
Oakvale: 15.5 (41%)
Exhausted: 1.5 (4%)

Tmth also wins with Ben as the nominee.

If the UDL cracks the whip (all UDL members vote for their nominee)

Round 1:

Tmth: 18 (47%)
UDL: 14 (37%)
Oakvale: 6 (16%)

Round 2:

Tmth: 20 (53%)
UDL: 18 (47%)

Tmth also wins with a united UDL.

Of course, I wouldn't advise Tmth to get too cocky, given the results of the last election compared to the polling...