Which factors contributed the most to trends in the CA recall? (user search)
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  Which factors contributed the most to trends in the CA recall? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Pick any of the following which you feel played a significant role in how the recall election differed from Newsom 2018/Biden 2020
#1
Latino realignment
 
#2
High GOP differential turnout
 
#3
Low Dem differential turnout
 
#4
Educational polarization
 
#5
Low Latino voter engagement
 
#6
Migration to rural CA
 
#7
Migration out of urban CA
 
#8
Asian polarization due to COVID-19
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 24

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Which factors contributed the most to trends in the CA recall?  (Read 485 times)
Del Tachi
Republican95
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« on: September 21, 2021, 02:22:45 PM »

Isn't what's notable about the CA results just how uniform the swings are from Newsom 2018/Biden 2020?  In a winning recall campaign (or even just a normal off-year environment), you would expect some places to trend very strongly relative to their normal midterm/presidential year performance but that doesn't seem to have happened here.

I'll read this as an indication of growing polarization within the electorate, which is obviously beneficial to the Democrats in a Biden +30 state.  I won't expect California to be a bright spot for the GOP going into 2022.
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