CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[MAINEiac4434]

Hawley running away with the GOP nomination already.

[MAINEiac4434]

Whitmer up by about 1,000 votes after getting a huge margin in Livingston County ev.

[MAINEiac4434]

If anyone's wondering, Jones is winning both the primary and special primary in MI13, but Tlaib is closer in the regular than the general.

[MAINEiac4434]

One precinct in for KS-03:

Brent Welder 30    37.5%   

Sharice Davids 27   33.8   

Tom Niermann 12   15.0   

Sylvia Williams 6   7.5   

Mike McCamon 4   5.0   

Jay Sidie 1   1.3

[MAINEiac4434]

Vote dump from St. Louis. Clay up by more than double Bush, 43% of precincts reporting.

[MAINEiac4434]

RIP Washington GOP. More Democratic votes in every single district.

[MAINEiac4434]

Tlaib's pretty much got the general election nomination, up by nearly nine points with 85% of precincts reporting.

Lowkey rooting for Jones now in the special, just so that she pulls a Curson.

[MAINEiac4434]

RIP Washington GOP. More Democratic votes in every single district.

wow, every single one? Normally, it would be a small data point, but Jungle Primaries are very good at predicting the final results, so thats really bad for the GOP.

Then again, most results have been pretty bad for the GOP, so this isnt really surprising.

I was exaggerating, there are (slightly) more GOP votes in WA-05, Cathy McMorris Rodgers' district.

Dems, added together, are at 50.3 in Herrera Beutler's district. The sole Democrat is at 47.1% in McMorris Rodgers' district (the real shock here), Dems are at 49.9 in Rossi's district (lots of third party candidates, too), Dems could get D vs D generals in WA-09 and WA-03.

[MAINEiac4434]

Ian Conyers being absolutely destroyed is bringing me great joy.

Will Rashida Tlaib be the first Palestinian congressperson?

John Sununu and Justin Amash have partial Palestinian Christian ancestry.

[MAINEiac4434]

Ian Conyers being absolutely destroyed is bringing me great joy.

Will Rashida Tlaib be the first Palestinian congressperson?

John Sununu and Justin Amash have partial Palestinian Christian ancestry.

Darrell Issa too I think.

Nope, just looked it up. Issa is all Lebanese.

[MAINEiac4434]

lmao what

[MAINEiac4434]

lmao what

Wow, I kinda want Jones just to win the special race just for the novelty of it lol.

With the general primary all but decided, I'm definitely rooting for Jones to win the special primary just so she's a congressperson for six weeks. It's called pulling a Curson.

[MAINEiac4434]

lmao what

Wow, I kinda want Jones just to win the special race just for the novelty of it lol.

Would be interesting to see if she even gets sworn in for that month-and-a-half term.

She will.

[MAINEiac4434]

The tie is broken, Jones is now leading in the special primary while trailing (by 3,500 votes) in the general primary.

The general primary has been called for Tlaib. The special primary is still uncalled.

[MAINEiac4434]

There is one progressive litmus test, at least for me:

Does the candidate support Medicare For All?

With Sharice Davids, that answer is a resounding no.

Her presence in the House will make it that much harder to achieve Medicare For All.

She is “fine” to “good” on every other issue, but, hypothetically speaking, if President Sanders (or whoever) submits a Medicare For All bill in like 2022, will Davids be a “yea” vote? I’m not sure she will be. And that alone is enough for me not to label her progressive.

[MAINEiac4434]

Thankfully Kansas has a sore loser law, otherwise we'd be seeing an independent run for the Sanders candidate.

Lmfao

[MAINEiac4434]

huh, Kerry Bentivolio was running in MI-11 and finished last.

[MAINEiac4434]

Jones COULD serve her two-month term without resigning her City Council position IF she gets special approval from the House Ethics Committee: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/detroit-city/2018/08/08/jones-resign-council-serve-congress/934999002/

[MAINEiac4434]

huh, Kerry Bentivolio was running in MI-11 and finished last.

I still don't understand why that district wasn't competitive when he was the Republican nominee.

He did lose the special election.

[MAINEiac4434]

With turnout reportedly low as hell, I think whoever has the most excitement surrounding their candidacy will win. So...Hanabusa in the Gov?

[MAINEiac4434]

Gabbard destroying Campagna. Hanabusa up to a small lead over Ige.

[MAINEiac4434]

Josh Green looks likely to win the LG primary.

Called for Gabbard.

[MAINEiac4434]

1. It doesn't matter.
2. It's Hawaii.
3. However, Democrats are outvoting Republicans like 10 to 1.

But with Democrats like these, who needs Republicans?

Welp, this primary is boring, Im logging off. Too late for an East Coaster like myself.

< Calling a 48-47 gubernatorial primary boring

NYT is way behind, Ige is out in front 50-44 according to every other source.

[MAINEiac4434]

Ige dominating in Honolulu. Hanabusa isn't doing well enough in the rest of the state to make up.

[MAINEiac4434]

What time is it in Hawaii right now?

Almost 8 PM