Who wins Grand County, Utah? (user search)
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  Who wins Grand County, Utah? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who wins Grand County, Utah?
#1
Obama
 
#2
Romney
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 31

Author Topic: Who wins Grand County, Utah?  (Read 1198 times)
Nichlemn
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,920


« on: September 28, 2012, 12:48:00 AM »

It should go for Romney.  I expect Salt Lake County to be close, possibly tilt Democrat due to reverse coattails.  CD-2 and the new CD-4 will both contain part of Salt Lake County and from what I've heard both may go Democratic.  CD-2 is where Democrat Jim Matheson is currently representing, but is running for CD_4 this time around.  He is expected to beat Republican rival and Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love.  It has been a nasty race just in the 3 1/2 weeks I've been in Utah.  Jim Matheson should carry CD-4 and CD-2 should remain with the Democrats.  So, I expect Utah will have 2 R and 2 D in Congress, and those two D's should help push Obama barely over the top in Salt Lake County.

lol wat. All major prognosticators have UT-02 as Safe R, and I'm not aware of any evidence that non-negligible "reverse coattails" exist.
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Nichlemn
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,920


« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2012, 08:46:31 PM »

It should go for Romney.  I expect Salt Lake County to be close, possibly tilt Democrat due to reverse coattails.  CD-2 and the new CD-4 will both contain part of Salt Lake County and from what I've heard both may go Democratic.  CD-2 is where Democrat Jim Matheson is currently representing, but is running for CD_4 this time around.  He is expected to beat Republican rival and Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love.  It has been a nasty race just in the 3 1/2 weeks I've been in Utah.  Jim Matheson should carry CD-4 and CD-2 should remain with the Democrats.  So, I expect Utah will have 2 R and 2 D in Congress, and those two D's should help push Obama barely over the top in Salt Lake County.

lol wat. All major prognosticators have UT-02 as Safe R, and I'm not aware of any evidence that non-negligible "reverse coattails" exist.

I haven't seen a single poll for UT-02, so though you may be right, you might also be wrong, since Salt Lake City (the liberal bastion in Utah) has about half of it's area in UT-02, and half in UT-04.

Or, instead of cherrypicking one good data point for Dems, consider that it's a 59% McCain (which Romney will surely outperform) open seat without someone called "Matheson" running in.
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