Ranking Competitive State Legislative Chambers in 2012 (user search)
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  Ranking Competitive State Legislative Chambers in 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ranking Competitive State Legislative Chambers in 2012  (Read 3568 times)
Nichlemn
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« on: December 10, 2011, 08:33:30 PM »

New Hampshire is incredibly swing-y, and I'm not sure why -- the state ditched straight-ticket voting. You'd almost expect that smaller seats would be less prone to swings, not more so.

One reason is a high number of independents, the other is the relatively homogenous distribution of the vote. Like, it's possible that there wasn't actually very much of a swing from 2008 to 2010 in the state legislative popular vote, but as so many seats are marginal that small swing flipped them all.
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