2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 170086 times)
Donald Trump’s Toupée
GOP_Represent
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,683
« on: November 04, 2018, 01:27:31 PM »
I'm genuinely asking this:

What is the GCB lead that the Dems need to give them a House majority?

If I recall correctly, the threshold is 7%, isn't it? Because if so, that's exactly where the RCP Average is at....
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
GOP_Represent
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,683
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 01:37:12 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 04, 2018, 01:30:10 PM
Quote from: Mitt Romney's Hair on November 04, 2018, 01:27:31 PM
I'm genuinely asking this:

What is the GCB lead that the Dems need to give them a House majority?

If I recall correctly, the threshold is 7%, isn't it? Because if so, that's exactly where the RCP Average is at....

Look above, Nate Silver has it at 5.7%. It’s dropped from the original 7 due to a number of factors.

Am I missing something? Nate has it at 8.1%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/
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