Hello! I've been lurking for some days now and I only wanted to express how grateful I am for you to be sharing so much information about the Madrid election, and the high quality of the debate here
Unfortunately I'm just too busy to take part in this fantastic thread. My life is all about studying, working hard in a warehouse and taking care of my father... But as a madrileño who's been in this forum for years, I feel I should at least say who I'm voting for. And it'll be Unidas Podemos for the second time in my life (and first in regional elections, I voted PSOE in 2019). My brother and parents are also voting UP, and they all come from voting PSOE in previous general and regional elections. In my extended family, most of them socialist voters, I'd say the vote is split 1/3 PSOE, 1/3 MM, 1/3 UP. My friends are mostly voting for UP, too. I find this phenomenon very surprising because I have the feeling UP - and not MM- has a real momentum by talking to the people I know, but polls indicate the opposite. So either the polls are underrepresenting Podemos or the environment in which I live is totally unrepresentative of Madrid as a whole.
Anyway I also get the feeling that Diaz Ayuso will win by a landslide and get a majority with Vox, unfortunately. So I'll leave my prediction here:
PP 62
Vox 11
PSOE 31
MM 19
UP 13
Cs lol
I'm probably underestimating MM but it's for the reasons I just stated. I get the feeling that UP will get a better result than expected.
