something like this, being fair with Sam Webb:
Hillary Clinton 294 EVs
Ron Paul 97 EVs
Sam Webb 95 EVs
Mitt Romney 62 EVs
Hillary carries the strong Dem. states, by a thin margin. she also picks the dixie vote in the south, while romney and paul split the conservative vote there. Romney carries GA because Webb hurts Hillary in Atlanta, and romney beats paul with the suburban vote.
Paul carries the libertaran-leaning states, some states in the south and states with a strong tea party movement, such as Indiana.
romney carries the moderate republican vote and the mormon vote, winning ID, UT, NV and WY. SD and ND are not that affected by the crisis, and with hillary and webb splitting the liberal vote there, romney wins those states easily. WI goes for him in an upset, with Webb and Hillary splitting the liberal vote, and with paul in a distant 4th. NH is his home state by 2020.
Webb performs better in the states with high unemployement rates (states in the rust belt), in VT and DC, which are really liberal, and in CO and NM, winning the Hispanic vote. Oregon is a 4-way toss-up and Webb upsets everybody there.
Poll
