Why didn’t New York pass another Hochulmander?

[Vosem]

2. A Net gain in the 2023-2024 redistricting cycle nationally

Pending resolution in things like Wisconsin, I don't think they got this, though. Notionally, 4 seats have flipped from D-in-2022 to R-in-2022 (all in North Carolina, including NC-1), while only 3 seats flipped from R-in-2022 to D-in-2022 (the ones in Alabama and Louisiana, and also the Syracuse seat held by Brandon Williams). Suozzi was not shored up by so much that Zimmerman '22 would have won the new seat.

Presidentially this doesn't work either: there are four new Trump seats (three in North Carolina, this time excluding NC-1, along with the redrawn LaLota seat on Long Island) but only two new Biden seats (the black seats in Alabama and Louisiana). The median House seat barely shifted at all (from Biden+2.1, in MI-8, held by Dan Kildee, to Biden+1.9, in VA-2, held by Jen Kiggans), but it shifted very slightly rightwards.

[Vosem]

Another theory is that Simcha Felder, a transactional Orthodox Jew who’s ran on both parties’ lines but is nominally a Democrat, killed the Hochulmander. He caucuses with the Democrats because they’re always the party in power in NY but might favor the GOP nationally nowadays because of Democrats’ leftward turn on Israel.

Felder favors the GOP, period (he caucused with them so long as they had the majority, and has promised that if control of the state Senate were to come down to him he would caucus with the GOP); he just gets elected on the Democratic line. In general -- and not just in the Orthodox Jewish community -- the New York Democratic Party still has a fringe of actually-right-wing members who don't support the national Democratic party and are literal DINOs; besides Felder there are still formerly-IDC staffers.