Vosem
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Posts: 15,641
Political Matrix E: 8.13, S: -6.09
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« on: December 09, 2019, 09:13:25 AM » |
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IN was polling at like McCain+1 the day of the 2008 election; that Obama ended up narrowly winning it wasn't terribly shocking in the context of the campaign. Some of his margins in the Western tossups (especially NV, but also CO) were surprising, though.
MI in 2016 was much more of a shock, as was the size of the swing in some of the northern Plains states like IA and ND. Conversely, most didn't expect CA to swing as much to Clinton.
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