What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get? (user search)
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  What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get?
#1
<1%
 
#2
1%
 
#3
2%
 
#4
3%
 
#5
4%
 
#6
5%
 
#7
6%
 
#8
7%
 
#9
8%
 
#10
9%
 
#11
10%
 
#12
>10%
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 44

Author Topic: What percentage of the popular vote will Gary Johnson get?  (Read 393 times)
Vosem
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« on: July 28, 2016, 07:52:59 PM »

He has never been under 4% in any national poll conducted since the Trump nomination that mentioned him, so I would say 4% seem pretty well determined to vote for him. (His high, reached in the CNN poll last week, was 13%). If you really think his support will melt away leaving only bare bones, 4% seems like a decent estimate for those bare bones. Pessimistically I voted for 4%, though I happen to think the distribution of possibilities for Johnson has a very long tail.

(Stein, by contrast, has managed to score 0% in some national polls that she was included in, though she has a not-bad high of 7%).
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