Final Predictions! (user search)
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Author Topic: Final Predictions!  (Read 15715 times)
MHS2002
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,642


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 1.57

« on: November 06, 2005, 10:42:57 AM »

New Jersey Governor:
(D) Corzine: 53
(R) Forrester: 47

Virginia Governor:
(R) Kilgore: 50
(D) Kaine: 48
(I) Potts: 2

Virginia Lt. Governor:
(R) Bolling: 54
(D) Byrne: 46

Virginia Attorney General:
(R) McDonnell: 51
(D) Deeds: 49

New York Mayor
(R) Bloomberg: 65
(D) The other person: 35
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MHS2002
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,642


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 1.57

« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2005, 11:40:02 AM »

for all of those predicting a kilgore victory...i have one question.

from what ive seen of the polls, kilgore is down big time in nova.  how do you think he is going win statewide if he loses by 10+ points in nova?

This isn't the best example, but looking at the 2004 Presidential Race:

Consider the Northern VA districts to be districts 8 and 11. Bush lost 8 by 28.73%, and won 11 by 0.63%, which amounted to a 13-14% victory by Kerry. Bush went on to win the state by 8, so if Kilgore comes out of Northern VA down 10, he certainly has a shot.
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