2008: If Barack Obama had won the New Hampshire primary? (user search)
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  2008: If Barack Obama had won the New Hampshire primary? (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2008: If Barack Obama had won the New Hampshire primary?  (Read 2255 times)
Bo
Rochambeau
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*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« on: April 19, 2010, 06:48:27 PM »



This would be the map, if Hillary decided to drop out after Super Tuesday. Obama would have easily won the nomination and there would be no angry disgruntled Clinton supporters. A better question would be what office would Hillary currently hold in this scenario?
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2010, 05:46:04 PM »


There's no way Hillary wins MN. Obama won it after he lost NH, so Obama winning NH only increases his victory margin in MN. I also don't see Hillary winning NM if Obama wins NH, since she only won NM by 1% in RL and Obama's victory in NH would have given him enough extra momentum to win NM. I also think Uncommitted would have won in Michigan, even though that's a matter of opinion. BTW, what office do you think Hillary would currently hold if this scenario actually occured?
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2010, 06:13:15 PM »


There's no way Hillary wins MN. Obama won it after he lost NH, so Obama winning NH only increases his victory margin in MN. I also don't see Hillary winning NM if Obama wins NH, since she only won NM by 1% in RL and Obama's victory in NH would have given him enough extra momentum to win NM. I also think Uncommitted would have won in Michigan, even though that's a matter of opinion. BTW, what office do you think Hillary would currently hold if this scenario actually occured?

I didn't mean to give Hillary Minnesota.  I was scrolling down the page and missed it.  I realized after posting, but had already closed the EV page.

As for NM, I don't know, I just think she'd pull it off.

As for Hillary, I think she'd still be Secretary of State.  She's pretty good at her job.

All right. Two more questions (for now): Do you think Hillary cried in NH on purpose? Also, who do you think would have won the Iowa caucuses and the nomination if Hillary had cried right before Iowa instead?
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Bo
Rochambeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,986
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -5.23, S: -2.52

« Reply #3 on: April 23, 2010, 05:36:48 PM »

You know I don't really see a difference other than more early endorsements. Clinton wasn't going down til the convention and if the democrat party actually let their voters decide, then she would've been the nominee.

Uh, the Democrats did let their voters decide. The pledged delegate totals are based on PV, and Obama won a majority of pledged delegates.
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