NYT/Sienna: AZ - Biden+8 (user search)

Gass3268
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Re: NYT/Sienna: AZ - Biden+8

« on: October 05, 2020, 12:01:02 PM »

Quote from: Panda Express on October 05, 2020, 11:58:49 AM

I like how Arizona just skipped being a swing state and went from Lean R to Lean D

It Virginia-ed.

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Gass3268
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Re: NYT/Sienna: AZ - Biden+8

« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2020, 12:23:25 PM »

Quote from: Buzz on October 05, 2020, 12:21:16 PM

Biden will win 50-47.5.

Undecideds don't look great for Trump.

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Gass3268
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Re: NYT/Sienna: AZ - Biden+8

« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2020, 05:28:36 PM »

Quote from: National Progressive on October 05, 2020, 04:28:49 PM

Interestingly there isn't much of an education gap for Arizona whites.

Trump leads college-educated AZ whites 46-45% and noncollege educated whites only 51 to 40%. Given Arizona's right wing reputation at least among whites, I'm shocked to see Biden match his national noncollege white numbers in the state.

A lot of new folks in Arizona are from the Midwest, so this would make sense if there has been a bit of a bounce back for Biden with non-college educated whites.

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Gass3268
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Re: NYT/Sienna: AZ - Biden+8

« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2020, 05:29:56 PM »

Region Swings:

Maricopa (59%) - Biden +12%
Pima (16%) - Biden +7%
Rest of Arizona (25%) - Biden +14%

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