2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: California

[Gass3268]

Nunes might end up in a Biden district.

https://twitter.com/AsInMarx/status/1448466780029128709?s=20

[Gass3268]

Valadao getting a slightly R district and Nunes getting a tossup seat is probably a fine deal for Dems. The key is being able to win the House in those neutral D+2 years if an open seat pops up and both would accomplish that goal. Harder looks like he could get a minimal change seat and that is a potential problem with the way rural Hispanics have trended. SoCal is where Dems should want a good map, if Kim gets stuck in a Biden +17 seat she is finished.

Yeah, it should be major priority to make sure Steele, Rohrabacher, Kim, etc get booted if possible.

Might happen to Kim, but at the expense of Porter.

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1448719189951205391?s=20

[Gass3268]

California's first drafts were released:

https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1453071799110021123?s=20

[Gass3268]

California's first drafts were released:

https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1453071799110021123?s=20

Northern CA looks Dem favorable. Interesting that the Latino CD in San Diego is expanding north.

Yeah, with Butte and Yolo being in CA-01, it essentially becomes a Lean R seat.

[Gass3268]

Does anyone know what seat was cut?

[Gass3268]

How did CA-48 become more GOP while losing south OC and becoming more working class?

It picked up Asian cities that swung heavily to Trump such as Westminster.

That makes sense. Garden Grove and Westminster took a hard right turn. Are wealthy whites becoming more Democratic than blue collar whites and Vietnamese-Americans in OC? Is this a realignment of its white voters?

But then the Vietnamese-Americans jumped back to Newsom in the recall.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/TylerDinucci/status/1458648904652574728

CA-10: Harder gets shored up considerably
CA-21: Valadao will win in 2022, could be in play if he's MAGA'ed
CA-22: Nunes will not survive past 2024
CA-25: Garcia looks cooked even in a R wave
CA-39: Kim gets a better seat, we'll see how long it lasts
CA-45: Porter in trouble for 2022, too liberal for seat.
CA-48: Steel in serious trouble
CA-50: Issa wins in 2022, district trend will take him over by 2024-26.

I agree with the comment that in this map Porter should switch to CA-48. Plus knocking out Nunes would be incredible.

[Gass3268]

Mike Garcia is pissed.

https://twitter.com/ElectMikeGarcia/status/1459937074493095941?s=20