So what? The energy is now even. It's not the #s it who turns out to vote and democrats notoriously struggle to turnout in midterms and now the GOP/GOP Leaners are enthused.
Those are likely voters, so I wouldn't sneeze at those numbers. But there is room for skepticism after 2016. This will at least be a mildly good year for Democrats.
The poll has a 10 point enthusiasum advantage for Democrats too. Also the national polls were very good in 2016. Only fear I have is educational weighting in the Frost Belt.
Yeah, but since Dems are concentrated in CA, NY, MA, MD, etc. outside of those states its more like D+5, which is still good, but almost all the competitive races in the house and Senate lie outside very blue states (with the exception of some being in upstate NY). That would be my main concern if I were a Democrat.
There is obvious truth here, which is part of why I'm starting to come to the conclusion where we could be seeing a divergence with the Senate and House this cycle. Democrats can get very close to the House majority only winning seats in Democratic states and regions of states. Compared to the Senate where the map is brutal.
Poll
