OH/FL/PA/NC-Auto Alliance/ESA/POR: Portman +11, Rubio +8, McGinty+3, Burr +1

[Gass3268]

One poll doesn't prove that Strickland will keep it close or that Toomey won't outperform Trump. Still, good numbers for Democrats in PA and maybe NC as well (thought I expect Burr to win once again, but not by much).

11% is close? lol

I think some Democrats are coming home, obviously not enough to win.

[Gass3268]

If this is the best Toomey and Burr can do in Rasmussen polls, they're in big trouble.

Under the "stronger than expected R turnout" scenario, both win by 3.

Which isn't going to happen, polling and early vote are showing the opposite.