Looks on the mark to me. I expect a Sanders win here. Look at AR. He did much better in the northern part of the state than Obama and Obama won MO by 2. Should be the best state of the night for Sanders.
Obama had the black vote, though.
Yeah Clinton will have the black vote this time and presumably will do significantly better than Obama did in rural Missouri (plus fewer votes will be coming from rural Missouri overall this year than in 2008).
If trends continue from other states, there with be fewer black votes as well.
