Bin Laden Dead- What Happens Now?

[Penelope]

Obama's approval reaches at least 65%, and settles around 55% after a couple of months.

[Penelope]

What happens now? America gets crucified from Europe and everyone else in the world, because we are just so bad!

Fail. Europe will be just as happy about this as we are, probably.

[Penelope]

Obama vs. marginal, non-nutcase Republican, 2012. It would be about a 57-42 popular margin and roughly a replay of Eisenhower 1956:

Obama/Biden     463
Sacrificial Lambs   85

This is an optimistic scenario, but a valid one. I'd say this is the upper limit for Obama's re-election.

[Penelope]

About 1992 comparisons:

Bush lost chiefly because of Republican fatigue. Voters were just tired of the Republican party. They'd only voted for Bush so greatly in 1988 because Dukkakis was a failure of a candidate. They'd had 8 years under Reagan, and 4 years under Bush. 12 years of Republican dominance in the white house, plus the infamous gaffe, and Perot, made for an easy Dem victory.