Who will win your county? (user search)
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  Who will win your county? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Who will win your county?  (Read 9291 times)
TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« on: May 14, 2004, 12:52:25 AM »

I live in Philly, definite Kerry!  I think Montgomery and Delaware will go Kerry as well.  Bucks and Chester Co's. could be close.  A lot of people even in heavily GOP areas around Philly not happy with war.  The family of the guy that got beheaded is from West Chester, PA which is the heart of GOP suburban Philly and they blasted Bush!  That could factor in as well.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2004, 02:14:13 PM »

I live in Burlington County, NJ.  Went to Gore 56-40 in 2000, exactly like the state.  I think Kerry will do better there than Gore did personally,

Kerry  58.25%
Bush   38.50%

Where in Burlington Co?  Did you ever play hockey at Twin Rinks Pennsauken or Voorhees(now Flyers Skate Zones)?  Anyway, it's interesting you said that.  Is Burlington Co. Dem?  Funny I live in NE Philly and a lot of people are moving over there to escape Philly.  A lot of people wrongly associate the moderate Dems like Rendell, Hoeffel, and Kerry with Street.  I hate Street with a passion and voted Katz last November, but there is no way in hell I'm voting Bush, Specter, or Brown.  The thing I'm most afraid of is Brown and her tirades against Section 8.  This could backlash against Kerry and may cost him the state.  I'm not feeling Schwartz too much, but I think she'll be better.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2004, 12:47:30 PM »

Luzerne Co, PA.   Very Democratic.  Both Luzerne and Lackawanna counties will be in Kerry's column.

I hope so.  It seems as if upstate and central PA are trending conservative.  My guess is that's more social conservative though.  It's funny, the suburbs around Philly which were once GOP stongholds (Reagan even said it in 1988) are now electing Democrats.  
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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Posts: 10,479


« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2004, 03:52:27 PM »

Luzerne Co, PA.   Very Democratic.  Both Luzerne and Lackawanna counties will be in Kerry's column.

I hope so.  It seems as if upstate and central PA are trending conservative.  My guess is that's more social conservative though.  It's funny, the suburbs around Philly which were once GOP stongholds (Reagan even said it in 1988) are now electing Democrats.  

Correction: Luzerne and Lackawanna have both trended *towards* the Democrats recently.

Know where I'm worried about... the Lehigh Valley.  Despite it's Democratic industrial roots, they voted for neo-Con Pat Toomey 3 times and also 2:1 over Specter for the Senate!  I went to Lehigh U for a while and God that is a depressing area.  I do not see how that area can be Republican.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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Posts: 10,479


« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2004, 01:44:14 PM »

Luzerne Co, PA.   Very Democratic.  Both Luzerne and Lackawanna counties will be in Kerry's column.

I hope so.  It seems as if upstate and central PA are trending conservative.  My guess is that's more social conservative though.  It's funny, the suburbs around Philly which were once GOP stongholds (Reagan even said it in 1988) are now electing Democrats.  

Correction: Luzerne and Lackawanna have both trended *towards* the Democrats recently.

Know where I'm worried about... the Lehigh Valley.  Despite it's Democratic industrial roots, they voted for neo-Con Pat Toomey 3 times and also 2:1 over Specter for the Senate!  I went to Lehigh U for a while and God that is a depressing area.  I do not see how that area can be Republican.

while I have no clue how Toomey got elected there to begin with, remember that only Republicans voted in that primary. It makes perfect sense the Republicans in Toomey's district would vote for him by that margin.

It's funny as I drive up Rt. 309 it seems like Montogmery and Bucks counties should be more Republican however Hoeffel represents a good portion of that stretch and is popular in Montco.  Once you get near the Lehigh Valley it looks very depressing.  Them voting for a neo-con makes little sense to me considering they are a very industialized, very unionized area.  
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