Which way is your state trending? (user search)
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  Which way is your state trending? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which way is your state trending in Presidential Elections
#1
Left to Center
 
#2
Right to Center
 
#3
Center to Left
 
#4
Center to Right
 
#5
Far Right to Far Left
 
#6
Far Left to Far Right
 
#7
Staying Put
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 64

Author Topic: Which way is your state trending?  (Read 5786 times)
TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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Posts: 10,479


« on: May 15, 2005, 05:30:20 PM »

Pennsylvania is hard to tell.  I say it's trending very slowly to the right on the Presidential and staying put on the right on the state level.

In Southwest PA, you're right about the rightward trend.  However, that's not the case in the East.  If the GOP moderated their social views, I'll admit we're in trouble here, but even then I find wealthier voters in the Philly suburbs left-center to center economically because they yearn for job security, hate paying for trash and other GOP-like use taxes, and are petrified of losing the ability to pay for their mortgage.  A lot of these people are also heavily in debt, even though they have $300-500K homes. 
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,479


« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2005, 03:25:42 AM »

Pennsylvania is hard to tell.  I say it's trending very slowly to the right on the Presidential and staying put on the right on the state level.

In Southwest PA, you're right about the rightward trend.  However, that's not the case in the East.  If the GOP moderated their social views, I'll admit we're in trouble here, but even then I find wealthier voters in the Philly suburbs left-center to center economically because they yearn for job security, hate paying for trash and other GOP-like use taxes, and are petrified of losing the ability to pay for their mortgage.  A lot of these people are also heavily in debt, even though they have $300-500K homes. 

I agree, but the West is trending GOP faster than the East is trending Democrat.  Also, on the Presidential level, Republicans are doing slightly better every year in the T.

Montco is flying to the left, at least in terms of voting, not necessarily in party registration.  Out of the Republicans I've personally met who have identified themselves as Republicans, I bet just as many voted for Kerry as Bush.

True Dem, the East is also growing faster in population and the 9/11 effect will wear off in Bucks County.  I have suburban co-workers who are registered GOPers who outright disdain their own party and are thinking of switching to the Dems.  They are only Repub on paper because it looks better when dealing with their municipality.  That trend is dying rapidly with 2 new Dem Representatives in Montgomery County.  Phil will love this...  Yes, I am slightly worried about NE Philly, but not as much as I am western PA.  Some really nice neighborhoods are becoming racially mixed in Northeast Philly and those places shifted TOWARDS the Democrats.  Some are very tight knit and somewhat hostile towards "outsiders" those trended GOP.  Phil, I'm thinking some parts of NE Philly will become like Chestnut Hill!  <continue in PA 13 thread to avoid hostility>
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