2013 Elections in Canada

[DL]

There is also a very real possibility of another election in Quebec in 2013

[DL]

I like Dexter too,  it's sad that Nova Scotians hate him so much.

Its not at all clear to me why Dexter is unpopular in NS. He seems like a decent avuncular guy and I don't see any major scandals or miscues on his part...Nova Scotia is a poor province with a difficult fiscal situation - but i don't see how Dexter isn't a styep in the rioght direction - esp. after the absurd reign of Rodnery McDonald.

[DL]

There should be a public inquiry into the $400 million gas plant cancellation. i would like to see the inner circle of the Liberal campaign - people like Don Guy and Warren Kinsella all supoenaed to testify about their role in the decision and to have all campaign memos entered into evidence where the Liberals decided to that it was worth wasting half a  billion dollar to save two seats.

[DL]

They didn't. In the 2008 election Ekos final poll projected CPC support almost exactly where it was when the votes were counted. In 2004 and 2006 they actually OVER estimated Conservative support.

[DL]

Kinsella: expect Wynne's government to fall on its budget sword in March.

http://warrenkinsella.com/2013/02/overheard-family-day-musings/

Kinsella has become the Dick Morris of Canada. He has a knack for being dead wrong about almost everything. He is completely shut out of the corridors of power at every level and you can be sure that his latest fanciful theories are based on nothing.

[DL]

Doesn't seem implausible to me: NDP can't vote for Grit budgets forever. However I'd think fall or perhaps early next year more likely.

The ONDP naturally cannot vote for Grit budgets "forever" - so far they have voted for exactly ONE - one year ago. But I suspect that unless Kathleen Wynne inserts some sort of a poison pill in the budget because she actually wants to engineer her own defeat - and I doubt that - the budget will probably be something the NDP can at least tolerate. No one wants an election now, all the parties are broke. If you're the NDP why not abstain, concentrate on winning the Windsor-Tecumseth and London West byelections and then look to an election another year down the road?

[DL]

Nova Scotia will probably be going to the polls this fall to pass judgement on their rookie NDP government.  There will be one fewer seat in the Legislature after a contentious redistribution process, where the government overruled the initial report of the independent electoral boundaries commission.

Here's a map of the Metro Halifax area that shows the results of the 2009 provincial election by polling division overlaid by the new electoral district boundaries.

All that orange is quite beautiful. I suppose this map will look quite different after the election- but not as bad as other parts of the province.

Has anyone calculated what the seat distribution would have been in Nova Scotia 2009 if it had been fought on these new boundaries?