Quebec Municipal Elections 2013

[DL]

I just read that Ray Guardia who managed the NDP campaign in Quebec last year and also managed Brian Topp's leadership campaign for the NDP - is signing on to manage the Projet Montreal campaign for next year's municipal election with their leader Bergeron running for mayor. Projet Montreal seems to have become very much an NDP "farm team" in Montreal - it will be interesting to see how they do

[DL]

Safe Liberal area = safe UM seat.

FYI: Rivieres des Prairies elected an NDP MP Paulina Ayala last year

[DL]

Joly must be some Anglo lover or Tory or something.

No, a French Liberal, supported by many NDPers. She was on Trudeau leadership campaign and studied in Oxford. She is working in a big PR firm called Cohn & Wolfe.

EDIT: Lives in NDG, she is the typical "latte liberal",

I was under the impression that virtually 100% of NDPers in montreal were backing Projet Montreal. why would anyone from the NDP support Joly?

[DL]

A few random observations on the Montreal election...in many ways Projet Montreal is a bit of reincarnation of the old Montreal Citizens Movement of the 70s and 80s...that party took power under Dore then fell apart in the 90s and the remnants of it got absorbed by Tremblay's Union Montreal...as a result old MCM stalwarts like Marvin Rotrand and Helen Fotopoulos ended up being part of Tremblay's party...Projet Montreal is showing strength in all the same areas where the MCM was strong before it swept to power in the mid 80s....This time around Rotrand ended up joining Coalition Montreal while Fotopoulos went down to defeat after 30 years on council to a Projet montreal candidate.

Here is what i want to know - Coderre clearly has his 27 seats behind him and Projet Montreal has a solid 20 seats as the "official opposition"...what happens to all the other remnants? Coalition Montreal has no Cote, no Harel and just 6 seats...do they stay in existence or do they close up shop and get absorbed either by Coderre's party or by PM? What about Joly's party whihc elected 4 people all as part of her little personality cult? She apparently wants one of them to quit and let her run in a byelection to get on council...how likely is that to happen and if she is not on council - how long do these 4-5 stragglers elected in her last before they also decide to throw in their lot with one of the big parties?

[DL]

I wasn't suggesting that the Joly and CM councillors would join another party en masse - I wonder if they will just fall apart...perhaps people like Page and Menard etc...wend their way to Projet Montreal while Copeman and Rotrand and other more establishment figures join up with Coderre