mileslunn
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,837
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« on: January 18, 2024, 07:38:20 PM » |
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Alaska for Democrats and New Mexico for GOP are my picks. Alaska as has a highly transient population so perhaps if some economic boom that leads to many re-locating there, could lead to one off Democrat win and then boom ends and those return home.
For New Mexico, it would happen by GOP either winning or keeping Democrats to single digits amongst Hispanics but then replacement alienates Hispanics. Bush got 44% amongst Hispanics in 2004 which is much higher than GOP had gotten in previous elections or elections since. It was only close in 2000 as whites voted more heavily GOP in New Mexico than they do now.
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