Cities vs. rest of county

[mileslunn]

Here are some for Minnesota

Rochester:

Biden: 39,203 (59.37%)
Trump: 25,210 (38.18%)
Total: 66,033

Rest of Olmsted County

Trump: 14,482 (57.12%)
Biden: 10,289 (40.58%)
Total: 25,352

Duluth:

Biden: 34,384 (68.4%)
Trump: 14,559 (28.96%)
Total: 50,272

Rest of St. Louis County

Trump: 34,457 (49.75%)
Biden: 33,324 (48.11%)
Total: 69,262

Looks Duluth makes GOP flipping St. Louis County flipping, but rest seems like Iron Range and other white working class areas swinging GOP as pretty sure Obama dominated even rural parts of St. Louis County

St. Cloud (Stearns county part only on left, right total city)

Biden: 13,879 (52.06%) - 17,151 (52.94%)
Trump: 11,964 (44.88%) - 14,209 (43.86%)
Total: 26,659 - 32,398

Rest of Stearns County

Trump: 38,995 (67.02%)
Biden: 18,002 (30.94%)
Total: 58,180

[mileslunn]

Here are some for Minnesota

Rochester:

Biden: 39,203 (59.37%)
Trump: 25,210 (38.18%)
Total: 66,033

Rest of Olmsted County

Trump: 14,482 (57.12%)
Biden: 10,289 (40.58%)
Total: 25,352

Duluth:

Biden: 34,384 (68.4%)
Trump: 14,559 (28.96%)
Total: 50,272

Rest of St. Louis County

Trump: 34,457 (49.75%)
Biden: 33,324 (48.11%)
Total: 69,262

Looks Duluth makes GOP flipping St. Louis County flipping, but rest seems like Iron Range and other white working class areas swinging GOP as pretty sure Obama dominated even rural parts of St. Louis County

St. Cloud (Stearns county part only on left, right total city)

Biden: 13,879 (52.06%) - 17,151 (52.94%)
Trump: 11,964 (44.88%) - 14,209 (43.86%)
Total: 26,659 - 32,398

Rest of Stearns County

Trump: 38,995 (67.02%)
Biden: 18,002 (30.94%)
Total: 58,180

Can you do 2016 St. Cloud?

I only have 2020, although I do believe that Trump narrowly won it in 2016.

[mileslunn]

Here is Lancaster County, Nebraska

Lincoln:

Biden: 75,815 (54.48%)
Trump: 57,599 (41.39%)

Rest of Lancaster County

Trump: 12,493 (63.63%)
Biden: 6,478 (32.99%)
Total: 19,635

[mileslunn]

Here is Clark County, Nevada, surprisingly little difference although mainly because North Las Vegas went more heavily Democrat than Las Vegas.  Trump won Henderson, rural areas and most unincorporated.

Las Vegas:

Biden: 149,831 (54.18%)
Trump: 120,459 (43.56%)
Total: 276,518

Rest of Clark County

Biden: 372,021 (53.45%)
Trump: 310,471 (44.61%)
Total: 695,992

[mileslunn]

Here are few of the secondary cities in Michigan

Grand Rapids:

Biden: 67,985 (69.59%)
Trump: 27,158 (27.8%)
Total: 97,696

Rest of Kent County

Trump: 138,583 (52.43%)
Biden: 119,930 (45.37%)
Total: 264,335

Flint:

Biden: 28,231 (82.35%)
Trump: 5,542 (16.17%)

Rest of Genesee County

Trump: 93,172 (49.7%)
Biden: 91,159 (48.62%)
Total: 187,484

Lansing:

Biden: 37,899 (73.26%)
Trump: 12,758 (24.66%)
Total: 51.735

Rest of Ingham County

Biden: 56,313 (60.67%)
Trump: 34,881 (37.58%)
Total: 92,815

Kalamazoo:

Biden: 25,139 (76.91%)
Trump: 6,763 (20.69%)
Total: 32,686

Rest of Kalamazoo County

Biden: 58,547 (52.72%)
Trump: 50,060 (45.07%)
Total: 111,060

Saginaw:

Biden: 14,207 (76.31%)
Trump: 4,150 (22.29%)
Total: 18,617

Rest of Saginaw County

Trump: 46,635 (54.95%)
Biden: 36,881 (43.46%)
Total: 84,866

Ann Arbor:

Biden: 59,210 (87.4%)
Trump: 7,662 (11.31%)
Total: 67.749

Rest of Washtenaw County

Biden: 97,926 (65.64%)
Trump: 48,579 (32.56%)
Total: 149,182

Ingram seems a little skewed because of East Lansing. How does taking that out change things?

Even removing it, still pretty solidly for Biden, 57% to 41%.

[mileslunn]

Two more for Pennsylvania

Erie:

Biden: 24,878 (63.8%)
Trump: 13,534 (34.7%)
Total: 38,998

Rest of Erie County

Trump: 53,335 (54.38%)
Biden: 43,408 (44.26%)
Total: 98,085

It appears rural areas swung hard to Trump in 2016 and stayed that way thus why Clinton lose county.  Biden gained in suburban area thus why able to narrowly flip county

Allentown:

Biden: 28,338 (67.06%)
Trump: 13,479 (31.9%)
Total: 42,260

Rest of Lehigh County

Trump: 70,939 (49.47%)
Biden: 70,160 (48.93%)
Total: 143,395

Central parts of Lehigh Valley which are most densely populated mostly went for Biden while Trump dominated the northern and southern parts which are more rural and exurban.

[mileslunn]

Here are few of the secondary cities in Michigan

Grand Rapids:

Biden: 67,985 (69.59%)
Trump: 27,158 (27.8%)
Total: 97,696

Rest of Kent County

Trump: 138,583 (52.43%)
Biden: 119,930 (45.37%)
Total: 264,335

Flint:

Biden: 28,231 (82.35%)
Trump: 5,542 (16.17%)

Rest of Genesee County

Trump: 93,172 (49.7%)
Biden: 91,159 (48.62%)
Total: 187,484

Lansing:

Biden: 37,899 (73.26%)
Trump: 12,758 (24.66%)
Total: 51.735

Rest of Ingham County

Biden: 56,313 (60.67%)
Trump: 34,881 (37.58%)
Total: 92,815

Kalamazoo:

Biden: 25,139 (76.91%)
Trump: 6,763 (20.69%)
Total: 32,686

Rest of Kalamazoo County

Biden: 58,547 (52.72%)
Trump: 50,060 (45.07%)
Total: 111,060

Saginaw:

Biden: 14,207 (76.31%)
Trump: 4,150 (22.29%)
Total: 18,617

Rest of Saginaw County

Trump: 46,635 (54.95%)
Biden: 36,881 (43.46%)
Total: 84,866

Ann Arbor:

Biden: 59,210 (87.4%)
Trump: 7,662 (11.31%)
Total: 67.749

Rest of Washtenaw County

Biden: 97,926 (65.64%)
Trump: 48,579 (32.56%)
Total: 149,182

Ingram seems a little skewed because of East Lansing. How does taking that out change things?

Even removing it, still pretty solidly for Biden, 57% to 41%.

Mind doing Decatur, IL and Macomb, IL?

I can check on that, I know for Illinois most done by township only, but if they do give breakdown will post it shortly.

[mileslunn]

Two more for Pennsylvania

Erie:

Biden: 24,878 (63.8%)
Trump: 13,534 (34.7%)
Total: 38,998

Rest of Erie County

Trump: 53,335 (54.38%)
Biden: 43,408 (44.26%)
Total: 98,085

It appears rural areas swung hard to Trump in 2016 and stayed that way thus why Clinton lose county.  Biden gained in suburban area thus why able to narrowly flip county

Allentown:

Biden: 28,338 (67.06%)
Trump: 13,479 (31.9%)
Total: 42,260

Rest of Lehigh County

Trump: 70,939 (49.47%)
Biden: 70,160 (48.93%)
Total: 143,395

Central parts of Lehigh Valley which are most densely populated mostly went for Biden while Trump dominated the northern and southern parts which are more rural and exurban.

Could you do the combined Lehigh & Northampton Counties vote for the city of Bethlehem for 2012, 2016, and 2020?

I can do 2020 for Bethlehem, its around 63% Biden to 35% Trump.  Don't have 2016 or 2012.

[mileslunn]

For Illinois here are the two:

Decatur:

Biden: 9,967 (54.46%)
Trump: 7,927 (43.31%)
Total: 18,301

Rest of Macon County

Trump: 20,662 (66.46%)
Biden: 9,880 (31.78%)
Total: 31,089

Macomb

Biden: 3,175 (53.77%)
Trump: 2,556 (43.29%)
Total: 5,905

Rest of McDonough County

Trump: 4,471 (69.62%)
Biden: 1,817 (28.29%)
Total: 6,422

[mileslunn]

Here is Little Rock vs. Pulaski County and while not perfect as precincts don't perfectly match boundaries pretty close.

Little Rock:

Biden: 57,748 (69.57%)
Trump: 23,113 (27.84%)
Total: 83,008

Rest of Pulaski County:

Biden: 44,199 (50.83%)
Trump: 40,574 (46.66%)
Total: 86,947

[mileslunn]

As one of the few metropolitan areas over 1 million I haven't done yet, here is Orlando.  Note this is very approximate as precinct boundaries don't match municipal so I included those that were majority in Orlando while excluded those only minority, so this is not exact, but approximate.  Still good general indicator.  Orlando itself is a minority-majority city while suburbs a lot whiter although Biden won most incorporated suburbs but lost a lot of the unincorporated areas.

Orlando:

Biden: 98,363 (66.87%)
Trump: 45,741 (31.1%)
Total: 147,091

Rest of Orange County

Biden: 296,651 (59.09%)
Trump: 199,657 (39.77%)

[mileslunn]

Here is Savannah, Georgia

Savannah:

Biden: 42,975 (74.5%)
Trump: 13,847 (24%)
Total: 57,682

Rest of Chatham County

Trump: 39,385 (52%)
Biden: 35,272 (46.58%)
Total: 75,276

Trump generally dominated the northern and southern parts which are more exurban and very white while the adjacent suburbs which are more racially diverse mostly voted for Biden although more competitive than Savannah itself.  Like much of the South racially polarized but white population not as heavily GOP as in other nearby counties thanks to heavy tourist presence. 

[mileslunn]

Here is for Monroe county, New York

Rochester:

Biden: 57,984 (81.22%)
Trump: 11,746 (16.45%)
Total: 71,394

Rest of Monroe County

Biden: 167,762 (54.19%)
Trump: 133,915 (43.25%)
Total: 309,595

Back in 2004, Bush almost won county, so it seems Rochester suburbs have swung much harder towards Democrats than Erie County ones have.

[mileslunn]

Here is for Monroe county, New York

Rochester:

Biden: 57,984 (81.22%)
Trump: 11,746 (16.45%)
Total: 71,394

Rest of Monroe County

Biden: 167,762 (54.19%)
Trump: 133,915 (43.25%)
Total: 309,595

Back in 2004, Bush almost won county, so it seems Rochester suburbs have swung much harder towards Democrats than Erie County ones have.

Makes sense given the kind of swings we've been seeing recently--Rochester is a pretty white collar city.

That makes sense as in 2004 Monroe County voted to right of Erie County, but in last two elections its voted to its left so that is probably why.

[mileslunn]

Here is Winston-Salem, North Carolina

Winston-Salem:

Biden: 65,814 (71.26%)
Trump: 25,024 (27.1%)
Total: 92,350

Rest of Forsyth County:

Trump: 60,040 (55.12%)
Biden: 47,219 (43.35%)
Total:  108,920

I tried for Asheville but they don't break down by mail in ballots, but still looking at in person and overall its something along lines of

Asheville:

Biden 76%
Trump 22%

Rest of Buncombe County

Biden 56%
Trump 42%

For Greensboro, only give precinct data for in person voting but using those and adjusting for difference I got approximately (exact not possible)

Greensboro:

Biden 72%
Trump 25%

Rest of Guilford County

Trump 49%
Biden 47%

But again these are just rough estimates.  Biden won High Point while Trump won all the other areas save Greensboro and High Point which makes sense as rest is very white while both of those have large African-American populations.

New Hanover County same issue, but here are rough estimates

Wilmington:

Biden: 59%
Trump: 39%

Rest of New Hanover county:

Trump 54%
Biden 44%

[mileslunn]

Here is Columbia, South Carolina

Columbia:

Biden: 20,722 (71.51%)
Trump: 7,681 (26.51%)
Total: 28,976

Rest of Richland County

Biden: 111,848 (67.85%)
Trump: 50,632 (30.71%)
Total: 164,846

[mileslunn]

Here is Olympia, Washington

Olympia:

Biden: 24,577 (74.99%)
Trump: 6,936 (21.16%)
Total: 32,773

Rest of Thurston County

Biden: 72,031 (53.21%)
Trump: 58,341 (43.1%)

Biden won Lacey and Tumwater but not by quite as big a blowout but more so than county as whole.  Trump won Yelm won dominated the exurbs and rural areas on east and southern parts of county.

Bellingham:

Biden: 42,940 (78.13%)
Trump: 10,158 (18.48%)
Total: 54,961

Rest of Whatcom County

Biden: 40,720 (48.67%)
Trump: 40,331 (48.21%)
Total: 83,659

Biden won Blaine, Ferndale while also dominated all the suburbs, exurbs and rural areas near Bellingham (lots of lakes and low mountains so popular getaways).  He also gained Birch Bay while won big in Lummi Island, Lummi Indian Reservation and Point Roberts (this area has mostly second homes of Canadian residents so probably most in tune with Canadians who don't like Trump) as well as the towns on the slopes of Mount Baker.

Trump won Lynden, Sumas and dominated much of the Nooksack Valley which is agriculture and a lot of Dutch Reformed types so quite socially conservative.

[mileslunn]

Here is Boulder so pretty Democrat throughout.  A combination of a college town and some ski resorts in West its very liberal.  Only a few rural precincts in Northeastern part voted for Trump.

Boulder:

Biden: 58,947 (87.35%)
Trump: 7,262 (10.76%)
Total: 67,483

Rest of Boulder County

Biden: 100,142 (72.24%)
Trump: 35,239 (25.42%)
Total: 138,628