I think Gideon will win pretty big. Collins reeks of the incumbent people over-estimate when her whole rep has been sullied, and the age of splitting tickets is over. Biden will win by 10-14 points statewide here, and I don't see Gideon lagging that far behind. Probably a mid to high single digit Gideon win when all is said and done.
I'll go Gideon +6 now, but in a week or so when I make final predictions I may inch a point or two higher. It would amuse me if Titanium D Mark Kelly’s margin is about the same or even smaller than Gideon’s — but not necessarily surprise me.
Collins winning would actually surprise me. And it would only happen by the thinnest of margins. But this race is not a dead heat. Montana, Iowa, Georgia, North Carolina? Those are the 50/50 races.
Guess not! Every other Senate candidate basically ran alongside their party’s presidential candidate this year... but her
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