2012 Prediction Map

[sentinel]

Obama vs. Republican

Republican Win.

Thats a tie in 2008 numbers.

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Most Americans aren't liberals, conservatives, or centrists, either.

Actually, most people are liberal, conservative or centrist regardless of their knowledge of political ideology.

[sentinel]

Ok ok, I'm proposing this -- Obama's approval rating is 54%. Unemployment is decreasing, but is 7.5% (2.5% above normal, but 3% lower than 2010)

I think this is somewhat realistic.

Obama v. Romney

355 Obama, 183 Romney with 2008 numbers.

[sentinel]

I think this is somewhat realistic.

how does Obama lose N. Carolina while picking up Kentucky and W. Virgina?

I was talking about the economic conditions as being realistic. I'm pushing it with Kentucky and West Virginia mainly due to concern over a Mormon candidate.

Although, I don't think North Carolina will vote for Obama again (unless his approval is higher), nor Indiana. Montana might be in play.

[sentinel]

I think this is somewhat realistic.

how does Obama lose N. Carolina while picking up Kentucky and W. Virgina?

I was talking about the economic conditions as being realistic. I'm pushing it with Kentucky and West Virginia mainly due to concern over a Mormon candidate.

Although, I don't think North Carolina will vote for Obama again (unless his approval is higher), nor Indiana. Montana might be in play.

I agree with you about IN & MT, but I think Obama might win NC again in 2012 since many minorities and young professionals (who typically vote Democratic) have been moving there.

I hope you're right, but those are the same people who don't come out to vote. The turn out rate for 18-25 year olds in 2008 as a lot more than in 2004, but its still extremely small...it's somewhere in the low 20's (%).

WV and KY were definitely pushing it though. It's unlikely but eh.

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The people lov Obama and health care.  We's out of Iraq and we have flying cars.  Obama wins every state except for the South, but who cares what they think?  They're rassists so we'll kick them out of the union for not voting for Obama.  Missouri only votes Republican because the Republicans messed up their voting machines.  Alaska voted Republican because they're retards.  And Florida?  F-ck them.

Oh, I thought you were PBrower or sirnick for a second there.

Sorry for thinking Obama would be re-elected in 2012 by a smaller or similiar margin in comparison to 2008.

Just btw: http://www.gallup.com/poll/114016/state-states-political-party-affiliation.aspx

[sentinel]

playing it safe

Hmm... How about removing ND, MT, AZ, NM, MO, IN, NC, MN, NJ, NH and maybe ME... now that would be playing it safe. lol

I can play it safe too