FWIW there have been two recent byelections in Newfoundland - one where a seemingly safe Tory seat went Liberal and another where a seemingly safe Liberal seat went Tory - go figure
It's proof that strength of candidacy still matters in Atlantic Canada. This was probably more of a generic ballot type race as opposed to the Liberal pick up in Conception Bay where they ran a star candidate.
I think this only applies on islands in Atlantic Canada.
Heh. Except, it's probably the strongest in Labrador, which is definitely not an island.
You are right, I'm not sure how better to phrase this to make my point that local candidates in NB and the mainland of NS don't matter that much more than any other comparable part of the Canadian mainland, but in PEI, Cape Breton, and Newfoundland and Labrador they sure do.