wait, is CA going to SWING R?

[H. Ross Peron]

Illinois and New York are not done counting. New York has over a million uncounted ballots that will help Biden a lot.

Regarding California and Hawaii, Hillary probably maxed out support (percentage wise)

Biden's currently at 63.8% of the vote, which is over 2% more than Hillary. The D candidate's percentage of the popular vote has increased every election since 1992. It's just that 45's also doing a little under 3% better than he did last time, so California will swing R by around 0.3% or 0.4% when all the votes are counted.

But yeah, the sharp R swings in Santa Clara and Los Angeles are a bit ominous for the Ds, as are the R rebounds in SoCal House races.

Yeah, that was a bit weird, but maybe it had something to do with the Asian swing towards Trump? I have cousins who live there, and I swear 90% of their town is Indian or Chinese. Trump isn't exactly beloved among tech types.

I don't have precinct data on hand or detailed knowledge of which ethnic groups live in which precincts. As far as I know, the ethnic Chinese and South Asians of that county are more concentrated in Cupertino. Santa Clara itself has a reputation for being disproportionately Korean.

I can totally see slightly older, otherwise apolitical versions of Silicon Valley's Jian-Yang and Dinesh voting for 45 en masse to spite all the Bachmanns and Monicas. I imagine fake news proliferation among foreign-born circles helped boost 45's numbers there, along with genuine concerns with affirmative action and taxes.

Is this referring to something specific?

[H. Ross Peron]

Illinois and New York are not done counting. New York has over a million uncounted ballots that will help Biden a lot.

Regarding California and Hawaii, Hillary probably maxed out support (percentage wise)

Biden's currently at 63.8% of the vote, which is over 2% more than Hillary. The D candidate's percentage of the popular vote has increased every election since 1992. It's just that 45's also doing a little under 3% better than he did last time, so California will swing R by around 0.3% or 0.4% when all the votes are counted.

But yeah, the sharp R swings in Santa Clara and Los Angeles are a bit ominous for the Ds, as are the R rebounds in SoCal House races.

Yeah, that was a bit weird, but maybe it had something to do with the Asian swing towards Trump? I have cousins who live there, and I swear 90% of their town is Indian or Chinese. Trump isn't exactly beloved among tech types.

I don't have precinct data on hand or detailed knowledge of which ethnic groups live in which precincts. As far as I know, the ethnic Chinese and South Asians of that county are more concentrated in Cupertino. Santa Clara itself has a reputation for being disproportionately Korean.

I can totally see slightly older, otherwise apolitical versions of Silicon Valley's Jian-Yang and Dinesh voting for 45 en masse to spite all the Bachmanns and Monicas. I imagine fake news proliferation among foreign-born circles helped boost 45's numbers there, along with genuine concerns with affirmative action and taxes.

Is this referring to something specific?

Lol, it's a reference to various characters from the TV show Silicon Valley. Erlich Bachmann is a software developer and startup founder who rents out a house to several other characters, including Chinese national Jian-Yang and naturalized Pakistani immigrant Dinesh.

I used them as stand-ins for foreign-born Chinese and South Asian tech workers in the Bay Area, while Bachmann was intended as a personification of individualistic, libertine West Coast social norms that are commonly associated with white tech bros. I just added Monica as an afterthought because she's a white woman who doesn't work in a technical role.

Never watched the show so I thought it was a reference to Dinesh D'Souza and Michele Bachmann if anything.