PA-SEN 2024 megathread

[SilverStar]

Casey will win by more than Fetterman,Beaver and Berks are going to be Trump-Casey Counties.
And if Biden flips cumberland casey carries it too
McCormick doesn't have a path,he's doesn't have a WWC appeal and the suburbs aren't coming back.

[SilverStar]

Casey will win by more than Fetterman,Beaver and Berks are going to be Trump-Casey Counties.
And if Biden flips cumberland casey carries it too
McCormick doesn't have a path,he's doesn't have a WWC appeal and the suburbs aren't coming back.

Beaver isn't staying Dem. After all even Oz won it by 8 points last year. Unless Casey wins by double digits (he won't), Beaver is flipping from its 2018 result.

Casey might as well win by double digit or close to it,2022 PA Senate isn't a good benchmark for the race (midterm bump,Fetterman's stroke)
Carluccio was suppost to be a storng candidate and she only won Beaver by 6.
Beaver is a tossup on the Senate race.

[SilverStar]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1755321089574457778

[SilverStar]

Let’s not overreact here, even Romney only lost by 5 and that was before a realignment in rural Pennsylvania. He could definitely lose by around 5 in the end, but if he is losing by 10, Biden has won re-election and improved substantially on 2020.

Romney won Chester County,Romney suburban numbers aren't winnable for Republicans anymore.