Is Gulianai too liberal for the republican ticket in '08? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 07:01:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Is Gulianai too liberal for the republican ticket in '08? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Is Gulianai too liberal for the republican ticket in '08?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Yes but he'll be nominated anyway because Republicans will be sure he'll win
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: Is Gulianai too liberal for the republican ticket in '08?  (Read 9032 times)
Defarge
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,588


Political Matrix
E: -3.13, S: -0.72

« on: November 22, 2004, 07:16:16 PM »
« edited: November 22, 2004, 08:22:56 PM by Senator Defarge »

If Bush had lost, then Giuliani or McCain probably would have been on the top of the ticket in '08.  However, Bush didn't lose.  Thus, Republicans will feel safe fielding a candidate who more represents their values, while the Democratic Party will be going with the most electable candidate they can find, either Bayh or Warner. 

Guiliani's too liberal for the Republican Party, and probably wouldn't win the nomination unless he could make it to Super Tuesday.  That doesen't change the fact that I'd probably vote for him, and might even volunteer for his campaign depending on the Democratic candidate
Logged
Defarge
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,588


Political Matrix
E: -3.13, S: -0.72

« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2004, 08:18:11 PM »
« Edited: November 22, 2004, 08:21:23 PM by Senator Defarge »

Defarge has a great point, it it was him, would he have a chance of winning some new england states?
In the general election?  He would win NH and quite possibly NY.  Other New England States will probably be reliably Democratic.

The Primaries will be a completely different story should Giuliani decide to run.  I'm not a Republican, and don't pretend to know the internal workings of their party, but this is what I would guess.  Giuliani gets completely crushed in Iowa, 3rd, 2nd if he's extremely lucky.  Next week, Guiliani wins NH.  In the procession of primaries and caucuses in between NH and Super Tuesday, Giuliani will lose most, if not all of them except for North East, West Coast, and some Midwest Primaries.

At that point, it's just a question of whether Giuliani can hold out until Super Tuesday, when he wins the blue state Republican primaries, including NY, CA and the rest of the North East.  If he can translate those victories into momentum, he could win the nomination. 

However, it's a long shot, and depends on Red State primary voters listening to their Blue State Republican counterparts.  In addition, there's the simple fact that there are 3 more years until the Iowa Caucuses.  Anything can happen.  Anything will happen.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 12 queries.