MS-GOV Mason-Dixon: Reeves + 8

[BigZuck08]

Darn you beat me to it. I just posted this same poll after you did so I had to delete it.

But overall I expect Reeves to win re-election.

Lean R still.

[BigZuck08]

Darn you beat me to it. I just posted this same poll after you did so I had to delete it.

But overall I expect Reeves to win re-election.

Lean R still.

Reeves also seems a very unpopular guy too. He got only 51.9 % against Jim Hood in 2019
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Mississippi_gubernatorial_election

Meanwhile former Governors Phil Bryant & Haley Babour got nearly 60 % of the Vote when they ran for Re-Election in MS. Babour even beat an Incumbent D Governor in 2003.

True, but it's Mississippi, and polling shows Reeves winning re-election. Though I don't think it'll be Reeves +17 like his internals suggest, but I can, however, see it being much like 2019.

[BigZuck08]

Darn you beat me to it. I just posted this same poll after you did so I had to delete it.

But overall I expect Reeves to win re-election.

Lean R still.

Reeves also seems a very unpopular guy too. He got only 51.9 % against Jim Hood in 2019
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Mississippi_gubernatorial_election

Meanwhile former Governors Phil Bryant & Haley Babour got nearly 60 % of the Vote when they ran for Re-Election in MS. Babour even beat an Incumbent D Governor in 2003.

True, but it's Mississippi, and polling shows Reeves winning re-election. Though I don't think it'll be Reeves +17 like his internals suggest, but I can, however, see it being much like 2019.

Democrats consistently say they are making inroads in the Deep South but aside from Georgia (Where they have 2 DEM Senators) and Louisiana (Where they do have a DEM Governor for now) IMO it is just blowing up smoke. What do you think?

Yeah I don't see Democrats making inroads in the South besides Georgia and Texas. Louisiana is all but guaranteed to flip R this year and if Democrats keep going towards the progressive, far-left wing of the party the Deep South might only get more ailenated towards them because the Deep South is pretty conservative. Heck Mississippi itself is one of if not the most pro-life state in the union.

[BigZuck08]

Darn you beat me to it. I just posted this same poll after you did so I had to delete it.

But overall I expect Reeves to win re-election.

Lean R still.

Reeves also seems a very unpopular guy too. He got only 51.9 % against Jim Hood in 2019
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Mississippi_gubernatorial_election

Meanwhile former Governors Phil Bryant & Haley Babour got nearly 60 % of the Vote when they ran for Re-Election in MS. Babour even beat an Incumbent D Governor in 2003.

True, but it's Mississippi, and polling shows Reeves winning re-election. Though I don't think it'll be Reeves +17 like his internals suggest, but I can, however, see it being much like 2019.

Democrats consistently say they are making inroads in the Deep South but aside from Georgia (Where they have 2 DEM Senators) and Louisiana (Where they do have a DEM Governor for now) IMO it is just blowing up smoke. What do you think?

Yeah I don't see Democrats making inroads in the South besides Georgia and Texas. Louisiana is all but guaranteed to flip R this year and if Democrats keep going towards the progressive, far-left wing of the party the Deep South might only get more ailenated towards them because the Deep South is pretty conservative. Heck Mississippi itself is one of if not the most pro-life state in the union.

Yeah, I think so too. The Florida Story is truly amazing: Republicans outnumber Democrats now by nearly 600,000!
I also think Ossoff is an accidential Senator in GA just like Sherrod Brown is in OH. They are voting like GA and OH is Massachusetts. If Governor Kemp runs for Senate in 2026 Republicans will get that Seat back.

Yeah I agree, assuming Kemp can make it past a Republican Primary. Then again, he is decently popular in the state despite his anti-Trump positions, so it is possible.

I also think OH will flip in 2024 because of Brown voting 99% of the time with President Biden and his policy positions not falling in line with the majority of Ohio.