Actually among those who know both candidates, Demings leads Rubio by 51%-42%.
I think you got it backward.
Given the Republicans own a 60K Registration Edge that is likely going to grow I feel confident of Florida staying RED.
Registration edge is notable but the Dems registration advantage was always inflated given the number of registered Dems who always voted Republican.
I think it will be interesting to see how the Dems vote by mail advantage factors into turnout. All of the 2020 VBM requests are valid through 2022 so many more Democratic voters statewide will be receiving mail ballots. That could help boost turnout among Dems groups who vote more sporadically. That being said the GOP GOTV operation is always impressive.
