2023 Jacksonville Mayoral Election (jungle primary 3/21, runoff 5/16)

[FloridaMan1845]

FL IS TRENDING D I WILL DONATE TO WHOMEVER GETS THE MOMENTUM FOR NOMINEE'S

There is a myth going on with Spector saying that TX is more winnable than FL where is the Emerson poll that shows Biden within 5 of a R candidate and Cruz says he will crush any D, why would Allred lose his SENORITY in the H and D's can take the H and lose a S race anyways

I will be happy to put it on my map like I did FL, no one has endorsed John Love but Bernie and Shontel Brown are in Twitter of Boswell account

FLORIDA ISN’T TRENDING D. This is the dumbest electoral take I’ve seen on this forum in my short tenure.

[FloridaMan1845]

We have a poll! Its a poll with decimals, but its still a poll! A fairly surprising one too:

Donna Deegan (D): 35.2%
Daniel Davis (R): 17.5%
Al Ferraro (R): 10.6%
Audrey Gibson (D): 10.2%
LeAnne Gutierrez Cumber (R): 4.1%
Omega Allen (I): 2.4%
Frank Keasler (R): 0.4%

Undecided / Won’t say: 19.7%

Runoff

Donna Deegan: 51.3%
Daniel Davis: 25.8%


478 LV, St. Pete Polls from February 13th

That Cumber, who has spent more in the last month than Deegan has raised in total, is all the way at 4% is pathetic. I still expect her to outperform these numbers by quite a bit since she's gotten several recent endorsements from local organizations known to campaign well, but its a bad sign for her making it to round 2. Al Ferraro, undistinguished city councilor and lawn service owner, is also doing surprisingly well.

No one is really attacking her yet, but Deegan seems well placed to take over the largest city in the country currently run by a Republican.

It's the same firm polling that had Andrew Gillum winning by 5 in 2018, had Charlie Crist winning by 1 percentage point and had DeSantis winning by just 6 percentage points.

Deegan is the 2020 Democratic nominee in FL-04 and she lost it by 22 percentage points against John Rutherford even though she made healthcare, climate change, and gun violence prevention her top priorities. And Republicans won the Duval County by double digits last year and last November Republicans had a registration edge by 22,000 in the Duval County over the Democrats and it likely increased since then

Deegan's positions are out of step with the people of Jacksonville. Deegan called mask mandates "good news". She opposed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 even though it contributed to strong job creation and prosperity in the country, including in Jacksonville, she said in 2020 that she would support Biden's plan to increase taxes and raise nearly $4 trillion over the next decade and increasing the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%.

If you look at states that implement the policies supported by Deegan - high taxes, high regulations, mask mandates - states, you look at California, which is hemmoraging population. No wonder that these policies supported by Deegan resulted that Tesla moved its headquarters from California to Texas. No wonder that the cost of U-Haul travel from California to Florida is 200 % the cost of a U-Haul travel from Florida to California because in Florida, including in Jacksonville, we understand that if you get the government off the back of small businesses Floridians do well. That's why Jacksonville's unemployment rate went from 6.1 % in 2015 to 2.1 % today. And Daniel Davis understands it through his experience as president of the Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce and he has the right knowledge and background to pursue Jacksonville's prosperity through lower taxes, small government and free enterprise

RS aren't winning OH or FL by 25 pts ever again that's for sure that's why Brown stands a better chance than Ryan DeWine single handle won the Sen race for Vance he only won by 6 and DeWine isn't on the ballot 24

The S race with Scott and Matt Boswell is gonna  be within 5 pts

JD Vance and Jeanette Nunez will win by like 12-15 when they’re up for election.