If Kari Lake runs for senate will she win the primary?

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Yes. I think Masters stays out of it if she gets in too. She is insanely popular with the party base.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Not sure tbh, she had Trump's endorsement and was only able to hold off KTR by 4.5 pts, and her loss and post election actions have not helped her. I don't think KTR would be able to beat her, but a different Republican with good fundraising could pull it off.

I agree with this analysis. I think what people have recently forgotten about in regards to AZGOV 2022 was that Robson came fairly close at winning the primary, where she in all likelihood defeat Hobbs imo(although barely). Hell, remember folks prematurely celebrating Robson's apparent primary victory before the rest of the vote came in. If a competent Republican with strong fundraising united the more traditional GOP base in the state(which is still prevalent), it might be enough to deny Lake from the nomination. Maybe 

Honestly maybe the only person who could defeat her is if Mark Lamb was the only non-Lake person in the race. I foresee it going like the presidential primary.