I’m surprised about the Spartz decision. Initially it seemed like she wanted to run for Senate. It then seemed like she may not run for Senate due to Republicans coalescing around Jim Banks, but I just figured she’d run for re-election instead. I didn’t think she’d retire altogether.
I think she wants out of the house, with the whole speakership debacle I wouldn’t be surprised if more freshmen then normal retire
I don't know about freshmen, but we could get a lot of sophomore retirements. Especially from the moderate wing, like Garbarino, Malliotakis, Mace, or Salazar.
I doubt any of them will retire. Mace is clearly positioning herself to succeed Graham (although she's not doing a good job at it), Salazar is a good fundraiser and seems to enjoy being a congresswoman, and I don't see Garbarino or Malliotakis quitting as the NYGOP is more moderate than most state parties anyway.
