Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

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Early voting has started on Saturday.

There was no early voting on Sunday, but it continued yesterday.

On Saturday, about 82.000 votes were cast (including already-returned mail ballots).

This guy mentions that the first day was slightly more Democratic and Black than the first day of early voting in 2019:

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1708456539348926543

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Early voting numbers can be found here (updated daily):

https://www.sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVoting/Pages/EarlyVotingStatisticsStatewide.aspx

Early voting in Louisiana will continue until Saturday.

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The early vote in Lousiana is more Republican than in 2019 at the same time:

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1709532186385195312

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The early vote (with just 1 day left) is now heavily Republican (R+7).

It was D+2 at this point in 2019.

About 300.000 votes have been cast early so far (or returned), less than at the same point in 2019.

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D+2 was the final margin in 2019 if I remember rightly. R's are clearly favored to win this one when all's said and done, but is there a chance it could end up being a single rather than double-digit margin?

Maybe Democrats wait and vote on election day, or in the runoff. But as you said, R's are clearly favored to win because Shaun Wilson doesn't have the name recognition to beat Jeff Laundry (Wilson needs more TV and Internet ads, because he's only known to 3 in 10 voters).

[🇺🇦 Purple 🦄 Unicorn 🇮🇱]

Early voting ended yesterday and final numbers have been posted (mail ballots are still coming in for another week).

Turnout was 340.000 until yesterday, down by about 10% from the early voting period in 2019.

The early vote was about R +4.5, compared to D +2.5 in 2019.

But it was - somehow - also more Black (26% vs. 25% in 2019), despite being less Democratic.

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The Louisiana Governor election is tomorrow, by the way (general election day).

Louisiana votes on a Saturday, for whatever reason (all other states on Tuesday, and in November).

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ALL votes are now counted in Louisiana.

https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/graphical

I like how this state manages to count ALL of its votes in just 4 hours, whereas such lazy-as-f**k states like CA take 6-8 weeks to count theirs ...

Anyway, turnout was just 35% of registered voter, a shame. 65% of people not voting for a major office is a disgrace. In the Bavaria state election last week, almost 75% voted for example.

Landry's stunning victory in the first round has been acknowledged on the German Wikipedia's frontpage:

https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Hauptseite

Polls were significantly off in this race and Democrats suffered a bloodbath.

66% combined for Republicans (+17% compared to 2019)
28% for Democrats (-23%)
  6% Independents (+6)

Results page (NYT, for free, I am subscriber)

I wonder if the poll failure will have an impact on the Kentucky race in a few weeks: but Governor Beshear seems to be popular enough to fend off Cameron, and he has run a competent campaign and had a good fundraising.