Who do you think will win the election?

[rbt48]

While Obama has a lead right now -- April 8, I really think that Romney will rally after Santorum finally throws in the towel.  He'll win by taking all the states McCain won and add on Indiana, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, and NE CD-2.  The popular vote will be very close with neither candidate prevailing by >500,000 votes.  

[rbt48]

Of course, there is always the "who wants the mess" scenario.  The next four years are likely to be so painful for the country (economically), that who would really want to win?  I mean, somehow, we will have to come to terms with the huge debt and raise taxes and retirement ages and try to defuse multiple international crises.  It would seem inevitable that the next administration will have to make unpopular decisions and alienate large portions of the electorate.  So maybe both parties will try to lose.  

Obama will have to face a likely hostile Congress; at the very best, even if the House flips, he would be able to break Senate filibusters.  Romney, even with majorities in Congress, won't have the votes to break Senate filibusters either.  Also, with the necessity for unpopular legislation, could face huge mid-term losses in 2014.