NH (St. Anselm): Trump +14

[oldtimer]

Even in her most favorable NH poll (ARG), Haley isn't breaking past 40%.

Take the polling average before the dropouts, which was basically Trump 45 , Haley 30 , Christie 10 , D.S. 5 , Vivek 5 , and all these the polls make sense.

If you add a slice of Christie and all of Vivek to Trump he gets just over 50, give most of Christie to Haley and she is just under 40.