I was going to create a thread asking about the likelihood of the Democratic nominee winning the 2028 Presidential election if Biden gets re-elected in 2024. Does this thread cover that topic?
Just by changes among demographics:
Democrats would be favoured in Congress regardless of who wins, until at least reapportionment in 2032.
Republicans ought to be favoured in Presidential elections regardless of who wins.
For example:
https://www.nbcnews.com/specials/swing-the-election/If I just give Trump 40% of the "brown" vote, while changing nothing else, it goes from a Biden 4.4% victory of the P.V. and 307-231, to Biden 0.4% and Trump 312-226.
But Democrats would still win the gerrymandered House, Republicans would need Trump to win the P.V. by 3+.
